Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20d71e27b833f99cb3d31aa961e88eae5499addec7201e616b2b0f4ca58953a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 18,000$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,259.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 43c | 9,561$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.49 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 24c | 9,262$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.55 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 8,190$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.97 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,877$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 53c | 3,369$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.11 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,280$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.9 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 789.93$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 708.15$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 43c | 642.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.06 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 49c | 525.92$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.91 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 505.34$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 42c | 441.77$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 295$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 283.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 282.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed No | 66c | 249.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 249$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 46c | 204$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 198.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 57c | 190$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 57c | 174.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 56c | 173.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 169.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 22c | 157.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 51c | 136.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 58c | 128.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 40c | 126.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 121.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 101.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 31c | 96.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 31c | 80.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 72.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 53c | 65.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 22c | 54.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 53.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Yes | 45c | 44.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…0311backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 31.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 44c | 25.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.