Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8bc0d02461757e49b5ca6d5743131693db56b9efd3a7adce6c049324b0d96f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 5,013$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 80c | 2,350$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.47 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 8c | 1,240$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,135$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 440.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 270.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 163.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 156.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 151.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 51c | 148.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 107$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 71c | 106.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 48c | 92.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Yes | 14c | 89.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 87.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 81.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 72c | 70.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 59c | 62.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 62.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 56c | 58.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 58.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ca…dbe7backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 41c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 79c | 24.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed No | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 51c | 19.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.