Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29de208cfc3807b84df093d56ebbd6874027a2167bd273ef37d1117a0209dc63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 35c | 8,025$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.9 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 66c | 4,441$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.97 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 2,343$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.94 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 67c | 2,130$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 65c | 1,933$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 64c | 1,674$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 744.75$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 64c | 714$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 69c | 675.13$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 379$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…ca5fbacked Yes | 34c | 275$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 33c | 227.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…eda9backed Yes | 27c | 197.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 33c | 172$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 33c | 145.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 109.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 87.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 66c | 76.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 67c | 70.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f0…ddeabacked Yes | 31c | 45.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…18cebacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7527…0ce5backed No | 71c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…2616backed No | 70c | 30.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…6e5ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…f1f1backed No | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…09c4backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?No won
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-09-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.