Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Göztepe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5446885ebcb8b633f62a5ff2b040fb25439d8fe60dbdad141cc2265fd3d62946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 1,982$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 72c | 1,982$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 878$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 720.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 26c | 662.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…ca5fbacked No | 74c | 614$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed Yes | 29c | 199.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 18c | 110.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…f16bbacked No | 74c | 86.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…7313backed Yes | 16c | 71.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 74c | 52.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 26c | 46.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda81…29c0backed No | 74c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…bb35backed No | 73c | 32.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 72c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?No won
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-09-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.