TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes45c41,619$18,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,890.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No55c20,061$11,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,004.899265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c10,282$5,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,576.423,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No52c5,999$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.5420132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No47c5,069$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.575763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.968545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No37c2,742$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.712247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c2,561$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.952,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No48c2,299$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.521060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes47c2,246$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.8712955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes47c1,920$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.844746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No54c1,781$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.633240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No49c1,644$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.061866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No52c1,613$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.6715151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Yes54c1,586$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8252245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No45c1,309$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.3324557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes55c1,090$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No5c1,067$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.344860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes78c1,021$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes52c780.77$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7710757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No55c764.69$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-77%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes45c721.87$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.034837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29415376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No48c650.22$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.115532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes50c644.34$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.342065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No47c599.92$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.966949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes51c540.9$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.836637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddef…cd67backed Yes48c517.37$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes48c473.29$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No45c450.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0312269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes53c418.87$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No48c387.09$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes50c383.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…8771backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No6c370$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes52c300.71$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.643171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes52c300.01$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.65724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes46c278.33$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No47c272.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.011822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No48c244.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.719652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes50c237.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.683444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes77c225.42$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.852630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes50c200.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3127437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73af…fa89backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked No27c180.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.911127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes52c162.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.552343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes70c142.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.368453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No11c137.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3620042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+54%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes48c110.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4baf…305fbacked Yes46c110.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.624100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes52c104.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No55c101.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.652343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f2…876dbacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…0b40backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+181.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06d0…5081backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes61c95.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3414733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691e…9b99backed Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed Yes62c80.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes46c76.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.773961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed No52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x409d…3546backed Yes49c65.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes49c62.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0410761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes45c48.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+120.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaed…f6a0backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf888…c68bbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…e547backed Yes80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.512142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.