Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b47e417feb564794b02f5de77bdc51c31600841e7d4aab3108a45193cee589c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 59c | 450,000$267,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,648.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 213,056$86,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,663.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 40c | 95,555$38,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,222 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 39c | 42,201$16,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,462.57 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 61c | 32,664$19,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,738.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 43c | 30,444$13,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,091.03 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 39c | 22,419$8,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,744.85 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 39c | 18,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 13,571$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.02 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 40c | 9,712$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.98 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 40c | 9,500$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 41c | 8,612$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.39 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 57c | 6,122$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 5,820$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.87 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 39c | 5,272$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.08 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 40c | 5,025$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.95 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 59c | 4,897$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.2 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 4,578$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.44 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 43c | 4,047$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.82 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 60c | 3,882$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.9 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 56c | 3,263$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.11 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 40c | 2,855$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,825$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.21 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 39c | 2,667$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.18 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 39c | 2,406$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.31 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 41c | 2,085$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 2,051$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.36 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked No | 49c | 1,900$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.53 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked No | 60c | 1,676$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 43c | 1,365$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.8 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,223$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 1,191$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.33 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 41c | 1,171$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 65c | 1,137$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,124$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 1,061$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.69 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 25c | 1,008$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 46c | 960.57$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.81 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 39c | 864.67$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.57 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 39c | 817.31$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 41c | 788.41$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.61 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 42c | 784.17$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 65c | 738.46$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 659.37$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.41 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 58c | 655.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 33c | 605$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 594.33$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 41c | 588$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 42c | 575.5$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 38c | 564.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…44edbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes | 43c | 471.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 40c | 444$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 43c | 440$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 76c | 429.82$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 41c | 415.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 60c | 396.41$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 59c | 380$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Yes | 26c | 378.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 345.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 61c | 338.71$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 322$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 64c | 320.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 61c | 299$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 18c | 278.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…bd67backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…e07dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…728cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…d352backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.