Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4a4c526aa663dfe1f25c2da1ca716b2a56b32c314997df30838ff6be451638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 11,513$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 8,440$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.01 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 4,243$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.27 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 34c | 2,249$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.97 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 71c | 2,246$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.79 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 78c | 2,240$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.97 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,562$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.86 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 71c | 1,551$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.15 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 51c | 1,505$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.3 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 1,181$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.3 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 29c | 1,141$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed No | 66c | 1,105$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 1,050$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 1,050$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 30c | 999.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.08 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 829.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 15c | 561.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 29c | 523.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.4 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 29c | 351.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 272.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.88 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 70c | 250.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 69c | 242.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 34c | 223.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 211.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 184.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 67c | 150.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 129$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Yes | 63c | 123.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…f204backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…eec0backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 45c | 96.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 25c | 92.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 53c | 92.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 41c | 85.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 66c | 71.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…efe8backed No | 73c | 58.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…7f91backed Yes | 78c | 51.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 75c | 49.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 65c | 48.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 65c | 41.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 63c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…37a8backed Yes | 57c | 24.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 54c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 73c | 24.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e27…aa94backed No | 73c | 19.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…58e4backed Yes | 77c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.