Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x099e8c4083a5e7ba05290ace011aa6bba27814450cfc4b642609e229af18adbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 28c | 38,458$10,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,814.64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 69c | 29,937$20,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,280.52 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 24,508$17,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,304.68 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.53 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 68c | 9,600$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 28c | 9,113$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.12 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 4,570$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 71c | 3,500$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 3,291$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.89 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 3,198$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.5 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 3,100$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 2,973$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.25 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 69c | 2,921$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.32 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,479$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,350$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 2,347$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.8 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 2,334$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.62 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 2,324$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.4 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 25c | 2,173$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.28 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 2,165$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.95 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 2,122$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.65 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 66c | 1,729$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.85 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,618$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,406$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 1,339$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.93 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 1,191$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.69 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 34c | 1,041$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 25c | 1,020$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 65c | 880.7$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.64 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…e14ebacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…d31ebacked Yes | 34c | 660.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 68c | 590$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes | 29c | 485$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 70c | 475.12$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 67c | 447.31$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 420$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed No | 68c | 400.78$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 28c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 29c | 340.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 30c | 329.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 62c | 328.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Yes | 31c | 320.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 68c | 312.03$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 72c | 294$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 288.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 70c | 282.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 26c | 270.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked No | 74c | 267.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 34c | 236.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 32c | 230.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 69c | 204.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 200.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 32c | 194.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 29c | 170.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 24c | 163.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 32c | 153.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 34c | 149.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 68c | 149$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…d352backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d798backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 70c | 134.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 34c | 128.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 36c | 109.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 66c | 109.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 72c | 109.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked No | 69c | 103.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 34c | 97.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 32c | 94.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.