TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes29c6,032$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,294.084454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c5,744$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes24c3,471$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.5127235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c3,468$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.7941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb9…5a12backed No76c3,106$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No76c2,995$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.7528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes20c2,386$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.2751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No76c2,222$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.6121548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9911838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9718433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes23c1,944$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.8917958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes26c1,533$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.479450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes8c1,510$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.29450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No76c1,499$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.2490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c1,431$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.1867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No66c1,104$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No45c1,019$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7609148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes27c897.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.9813834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes27c759.69$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.8835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.662634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes25c647.61$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No66c532.98$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.687139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No77c519.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Yes24c509.96$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3806225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No80c481.25$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3857869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No72c420.61$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8420744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c420.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.564,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No75c400.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.119943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39e1…128dbacked Yes23c350$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+103.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.837844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes31c321.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.878155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No76c245.82$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.832462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes33c242.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.424632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.292740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked No75c211$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524139%16 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Yes26c193.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes21c190$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.936954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes24c176.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9529238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes29c170$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.92343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+162.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes26c142.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3110426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.334628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No75c113.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4910752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No74c108.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.597256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes25c108$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8136845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8925329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb32f…2183backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7344036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcc0…04d0backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.155930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes26c95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.417745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaaa…e67cbacked No77c94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No79c91.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf3…cf5dbacked Yes25c81.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No79c75.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd412…286cbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes24c70.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4126229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No76c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes25c68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No76c66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5385…9b12backed Yes24c63.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdce…97d6backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d1…f279backed No76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…80f6backed No76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9254128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes27c47.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.72657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x996f…3748backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a5d…430abacked No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdba…fbb8backed No77c38.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe9…925fbacked No75c27.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7052…9c91backed No76c27.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…63b2backed No76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428b…d8aebacked No77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb030…9afdbacked No77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…d004backed No80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.