TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,20017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No57c32,746$18,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,080.769450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes17c7,968$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.812254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No59c5,821$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.543638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked No60c5,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9613046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.957060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes44c2,639$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.062152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9914647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed No60c2,357$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bb…fcb2backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c1,850$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.53,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes40c1,737$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9228055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c1,701$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.8650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes41c1,697$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.8110956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes40c1,696$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.585253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6278…57e6backed Yes30c1,696$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No74c1,584$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.5630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6151030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No57c1,490$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.7818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes43c1,277$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes41c1,206$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.461850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3502…e99ebacked Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ef…de86backed No59c1,200$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No56c1,176$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9727854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes20c999.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe605…f88dbacked Yes41c901.46$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked No59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No58c856.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.222060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes32c819.53$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2597525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Yes43c811.91$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c767$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.144,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes43c704.67$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.015040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes32c701.39$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2211736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes38c694.29$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.864330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes43c681.67$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No58c661.58$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7412551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…de60backed Yes20c511.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c487.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Yes42c447.62$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes43c389.81$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes42c385.72$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.953571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes41c308.07$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12312917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-68.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes43c241.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-61.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes43c224.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.485119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes40c216.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.57142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No58c209.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.871060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes19c205.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes43c189.35$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed No58c176$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes43c173.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes43c163$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.09850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes41c158.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9321355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8b…3070backed Yes36c157.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No57c156$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0814348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5254…5f7dbacked Yes43c127.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes42c118$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5614540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Yes41c116.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e65…88c4backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed No58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c104$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes43c93.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes27c88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3917744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes43c76.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes41c71.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes20c70.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd256…43d8backed No58c69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ad…3effbacked Yes43c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0e3…06f9backed Yes43c60.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8617155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes20c55.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd8…d57fbacked Yes43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+127.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked Yes43c50.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes40c50.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.