La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Valencia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2495da5b79b2c7fd475ce1749e98f4b8eb301d71d978429bbb0c39cb7ab120c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,265$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 1,048$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.43 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 926.63$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 33c | 762.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 8c | 694.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.16 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 529.7$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.18 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 70c | 498.62$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.04 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 24c | 416.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 339.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.41 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 68c | 288.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 285.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 31c | 242.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 70c | 188.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 30c | 166.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 30c | 125.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 30c | 113.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 112.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 29c | 99.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…5f8bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…0374backed Yes | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 59.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 31c | 54.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 51.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 69c | 48.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…fa81backed No | 71c | 42.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 30c | 41.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 71c | 38.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 30c | 37.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 71c | 22.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 71c | 17.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Valencia end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-23?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-09-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.