TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes62c23,459$14,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,531.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,199.742955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c19,086$7,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,514.023,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes62c15,193$9,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,419.559265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No40c8,818$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes60c7,435$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.912269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15027939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No37c4,330$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.0815151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No36c3,785$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.8920050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes64c2,587$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes53c2,554$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.44658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes65c2,314$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.81850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No37c1,402$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.831080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No39c1,370$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.6720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes61c1,284$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7833354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes61c1,241$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No74c1,143$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7312868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes60c988.89$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3312955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1319…cf06backed Yes60c969.5$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Yes64c864.6$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.312650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c803.88$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.82,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No36c780$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.21060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No39c747.56$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2224557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes67c625.49$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1630%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes66c577.7$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.282759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No39c555$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.556949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No37c337.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.895841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes63c314.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No40c292.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.518145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No37c289.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.196753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes50c284.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.149652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…4f56backed Yes61c250.05$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.58456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Yes66c237$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes62c211.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes61c197.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.243852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…500cbacked Yes61c167.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41a6…1a23backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No28c163.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0820042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes61c146.03$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.083158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes61c140$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes62c128.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.622123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes61c128.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c101$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6236136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked No37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes43c93.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c35…c311backed Yes68c88.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…15d4backed No40c85.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ff…5c35backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes62c80.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes38c76.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes61c73.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes55c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No39c61.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.433055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed Yes61c54.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.192454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No39c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes63c51.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.325056%28 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes61c50.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe94d…9d24backed Yes61c47.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes61c44.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes61c44.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes63c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.728743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.223757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…8e9fbacked Yes66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e10…291ebacked Yes63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.