Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4659d41d11a00c054dac8a21b3b43733ee6403cae607df8cc7708ea6edd610aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 35c | 3,360$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 66c | 2,802$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.72 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 69c | 1,874$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.49 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 1,870$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.33 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 42c | 1,484$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.41 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,478$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 30c | 1,222$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.19 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 34c | 1,142$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 30c | 1,026$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 35c | 967.38$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 890$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 515.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 474.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 35c | 464.56$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 67c | 244.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 39c | 236.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 36c | 215$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 16c | 213.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 35c | 209.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 65c | 205.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…5025backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…9b21backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 67c | 192.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…cd67backed Yes | 63c | 157.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 65c | 157.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 67c | 147.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed No | 42c | 119.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 64c | 104.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…6485backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…9b32backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 68c | 88.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 63c | 70.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 36c | 65.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 67c | 59.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 58c | 38.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…52d3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 66c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…933ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…eaa6backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3895…7c44backed Yes | 66c | 28.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…946cbacked Yes | 65c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked Yes | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…3082backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will FC Basel win on 2025-09-24?No won
- Will Sport-Club Freiburg vs. FC Basel end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.