Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3171adebd9d58211f534e967d779b6eee287864dfd7bd35ee85f0a140f761b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 7,986$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.45 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…4da5backed No | 74c | 5,405$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…a924backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…ee70backed Yes | 26c | 4,998$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…7fc7backed No | 74c | 3,245$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 2,418$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.35 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 72c | 2,386$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.41 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df1…dae3backed Yes | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…7b6dbacked No | 76c | 2,050$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 2,027$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.01 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…5c1fbacked No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…74acbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…9ba3backed No | 76c | 1,950$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9c…107cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,950$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 70c | 1,783$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.79 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 1,768$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 27c | 1,667$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 23c | 1,503$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.58 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 22c | 1,497$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,402$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…f570backed No | 74c | 1,349$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,178$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 1,162$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,094$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.51 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,070$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 76c | 819.8$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 26c | 765.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 29c | 764.97$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 74c | 612.62$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 513.19$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 498.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 49c | 487.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 457$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 74c | 450$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 379$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 72c | 364.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…dd9bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 21c | 287.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…d31ebacked Yes | 27c | 280.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 26c | 226.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…7e61backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 26c | 208.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 199.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked No | 76c | 198.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 70c | 140.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 25c | 127.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 55c | 108.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46e…c832backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 97.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Yes | 26c | 93.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 71c | 91.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 29c | 90.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 28c | 82.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 29c | 68.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed No | 40c | 58.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…fc85backed Yes | 47c | 53.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 38.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 65c | 25.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…759fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.