TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e46…d1b7backed Yes52c24,767$12,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,99610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No43c20,198$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,557.416535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No55c15,395$8,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,919.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+217.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No53c11,600$6,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,425.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No60c7,654$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.031315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes59c5,668$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes17c5,176$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.21728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes43c4,947$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.291631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes32c4,703$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.831450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed Yes47c4,159$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes15c4,158$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.131711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No55c3,429$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes30c2,851$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes47c2,755$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.253060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes24c2,705$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.431225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e9…e12abacked Yes69c2,620$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked Yes63c2,618$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes24c2,367$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes45c2,153$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No57c2,133$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes48c2,000$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No75c1,833$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes46c1,717$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes39c1,589$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…6473backed Yes42c1,388$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd7b…4bdebacked Yes41c1,368$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes45c1,307$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.323240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes30c1,300$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes45c1,200$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Yes48c1,135$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2052…529fbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c1,074$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4349…ac71backed Yes48c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes14c1,000$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes56c1,000$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce7…b708backed Yes37c954.24$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…9ff2backed Yes41c946.59$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…9189backed Yes12c939.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes13c924.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.671631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe998…b10ebacked Yes70c824.18$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes59c810$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.53132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes45c768.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes61c740.8$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes68c740.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes54c738.3$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17d3…9a72backed Yes29c708.83$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…9f55backed Yes41c694.95$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes41c639.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.62661.5%16 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes28c588$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes21c552.52$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.282825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes25c550$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1675…76a3backed Yes17c540.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b0…1a45backed Yes46c532.61$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x165c…8c17backed Yes45c526.31$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed No51c515.75$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace2…3d6cbacked Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c480$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5094…7e05backed No76c476$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680e…c1e6backed Yes27c457.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes44c454.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd3…049bbacked Yes45c444.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1b…8fe4backed Yes45c443.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes26c439.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc14…e48dbacked Yes46c437.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No69c420.35$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes49c412.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ac…4901backed Yes46c412.5$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…121dbacked Yes10c406.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes35c399.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde29…4bf9backed Yes46c386.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes45c380$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes47c361.3$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd843…7d56backed Yes45c360$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed Yes29c358.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes45c348$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983c…db0fbacked Yes45c334.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5481…2841backed Yes45c332.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c320.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.491598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked No51c320.78$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac3…e05cbacked Yes31c309.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…1fb5backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522c…659bbacked Yes44c281.82$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes47c274.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb783…64b6backed Yes29c268.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ed…9cc0backed Yes45c264.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…e515backed Yes45c263.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Yes46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa40b…77babacked Yes22c255.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca7…31a2backed No55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Yes67c235.87$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes23c232.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…1579backed Yes44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0334…178dbacked Yes44c228.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes27c225.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5f…88d4backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.