Euroleague · resolved market
Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39f82cc36a99c96e24fa8b39a6d9402a80d0fe39724b1dc972f796324a60c925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdbc…d404backed Yes | 41c | 8,752$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 63c | 3,762$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 42c | 2,727$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.88 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 17c | 2,390$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,162$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.52 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 28c | 1,111$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 72c | 997.36$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 44c | 977.02$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.64 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8fa7backed Yes | 33c | 672.56$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 39c | 600$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…c78bbacked Yes | 42c | 539.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 58c | 521.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed No | 49c | 455.37$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 51c | 396.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.46 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 386.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…c8a2backed No | 52c | 385.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 66c | 301.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 55c | 277.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 41c | 274.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 51c | 257.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked Yes | 48c | 248$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 30c | 228.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 45c | 222.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…7ee7backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 60c | 204.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…3d6cbacked No | 68c | 184.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 169.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…bc2abacked Yes | 49c | 165.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…d33ebacked No | 76c | 155.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…178abacked Yes | 29c | 153.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfb…2e75backed Yes | 44c | 147.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 58c | 143.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes | 30c | 132.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 57c | 118$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 27c | 109.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes | 46c | 107.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 101.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…2fafbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…d89cbacked Yes | 40c | 95.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…ad9abacked Yes | 27c | 93.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…9017backed No | 72c | 93.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 23c | 88.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Yes | 40c | 88.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633d…ac92backed Yes | 42c | 86.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…26abbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…befabacked Yes | 28c | 72.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 55c | 59.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…af3ebacked Yes | 45c | 51.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 66c | 49.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…6623backed Yes | 46c | 48.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcec…e023backed Yes | 53c | 47.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6f…e69dbacked No | 58c | 45.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…8945backed No | 49c | 45.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…60f9backed Yes | 43c | 45.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed No | 70c | 44.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…7754backed Yes | 53c | 44.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…ce94backed Yes | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 25c | 42.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 54c | 40.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 36.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 67c | 30.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…e2e1backed Yes | 68c | 29.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…a9acbacked No | 52c | 27.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 69c | 27.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…dd28backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Yes won
- Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Israel win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Italy win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Lithuania win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.