TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,199$42 inLost-$41.81598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes7c5,175$343 inLost-$343.451315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Yes13c3,622$463 inLost-$463.23825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes6c3,110$193 inLost-$193.041711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes8c2,551$200 inLost-$200.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes6c1,027$65 inLost-$65.172825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes10c1,007$100 inLost-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes6c492$29 inLost-$28.842347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes8c353.85$28 inLost-$28.313528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes7c209.99$14 inLost-$14.07837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes8c204.86$17 inLost-$16.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes14c200$28 inLost-$27.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d78…f480backed Yes8c164.56$13 inLost-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes9c107.98$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c7…af3ebacked Yes11c102.02$11 inLost-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb4…d58ebacked Yes11c101.02$11 inLost-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.