Euroleague · resolved market
Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbf71c9193e83c81774de11261f112a91ae906b7aaeebc08bc217743bf1d841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 13,101$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 4c | 3,716$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd433…731fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,386$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 3,178$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Yes | 5c | 3,131$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Yes | 2c | 2,751$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,968$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…6504backed Yes | 6c | 1,774$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 3c | 1,718$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,694$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 5c | 1,595$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed Yes | 7c | 1,426$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…03a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,247$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 3c | 1,074$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,005$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 4c | 767.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…76a3backed Yes | 6c | 599.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 2c | 514.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…3db0backed Yes | 4c | 501$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked Yes | 5c | 496.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Yes | 8c | 492.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…68e0backed Yes | 3c | 474.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…cf3abacked Yes | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…ed86backed Yes | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…e8c9backed Yes | 6c | 317.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…8b51backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Yes | 7c | 273.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 8c | 263.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6731…2d27backed Yes | 6c | 254.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…2241backed Yes | 9c | 211.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…befabacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Yes won
- Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Israel win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Italy win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Lithuania win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.