Euroleague · resolved market
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd2edc0f7394eb19b97ddcdc7b91972104a1e70363553da91a115ac174bd525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 6c | 17,161$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.11 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 16,065$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 10,336$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,034$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd433…731fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,989$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 3c | 3,819$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 6c | 3,487$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 2,512$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 3c | 2,345$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 2,292$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…7febbacked Yes | 5c | 2,218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 4c | 2,086$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…663dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,932$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…ff3bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,768$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…f7d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,606$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…69c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892e…4e89backed Yes | 15c | 1,107$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Yes | 5c | 1,056$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 3c | 1,047$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 4c | 917.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 9c | 890.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 3c | 733.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…8b51backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…ef51backed Yes | 11c | 472.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…c6e8backed Yes | 6c | 425$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a1…9d76backed Yes | 4c | 371.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Yes | 4c | 317.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 11c | 290.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 12c | 264.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…bafbbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…de72backed Yes | 12c | 166.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Yes won
- Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Israel win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Italy win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Lithuania win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.