Serie A · resolved market
Will Como win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbc22b658b1ab78bd59efe8b5085ad3fb28d9f164ca073242adf070db433432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 40,000$14,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,605.53 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 34c | 17,055$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,256.13 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 14,762$9,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,537.41 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 12,208$8,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,077.71 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 66c | 11,111$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 4,723$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.95 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 4,277$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.14 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes | 28c | 3,578$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 65c | 1,911$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.53 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 64c | 1,548$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.96 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 1,365$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.38 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 69c | 1,295$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 64c | 984$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 69c | 902$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.23 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 33c | 858.08$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.94 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 35c | 600.12$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.66 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 64c | 588$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.32 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 452$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.28 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 67c | 449.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed No | 68c | 433.29$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 25c | 395.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 388.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 365.91$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 28c | 354.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 64c | 331.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 64c | 292.33$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 25c | 288.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 68c | 272$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 68c | 242.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 183.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 32c | 162$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 36c | 139$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 78c | 135.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 64c | 123.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 36c | 121$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…da52backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 52.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…cd54backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 51c | 30.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…7b17backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 65c | 24.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 65c | 18.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Fiorentina vs. Como end in a draw?No won
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.