Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese vs. Verona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60c9a52d1d415945c5576ff4227304a0b76496f2a38dff55a84623f976499ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 529.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 31c | 363.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 29c | 309.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 30c | 293.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…e940backed No | 72c | 278.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 70c | 276.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 217.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 160$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed Yes | 29c | 101$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Yes | 71c | 98.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 46c | 67.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…e90abacked Yes | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 52.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…0120backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed No | 61c | 21.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…7767backed Yes | 68c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…5c8dbacked No | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese vs. Verona end in a draw?this page
- Will Udinese win on 2025-08-25?No won
- Will Verona win on 2025-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.