Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836098afc64ceb148061ba0418dd3c273710f0d1d8ce123145b42feb492553d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 3,981$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.65 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 70c | 1,962$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 43c | 1,947$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.21 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 49c | 1,793$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 49c | 1,044$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 51c | 714$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.06 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 75c | 678.86$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 51c | 626.02$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 50c | 575.73$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 50c | 496.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 49c | 478.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 404.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 48c | 345.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 51c | 276$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7355backed Yes | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 51c | 258.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 23c | 160$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 122.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed Yes | 50c | 119.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 36c | 116.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked No | 50c | 101.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 49c | 79.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 48c | 71.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 47c | 69.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 48c | 62.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 52c | 57.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 22c | 49.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 50c | 45.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…c009backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…827ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…7767backed Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 43c | 32.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Yes | 50c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…3b04backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-08-25?this page
- Will Udinese vs. Verona end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Verona win on 2025-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.