Tennis · resolved market
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc2235f1ab0d892865c2c2a4c204bb92bcfdcc4934c31bd244495aca22eb744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 40c | 6,556$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.93 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 58c | 5,840$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 35c | 3,373$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Yes | 66c | 2,796$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 65c | 2,039$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.55 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 65c | 1,846$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 47c | 1,687$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,466$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.9 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 50c | 1,357$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 22c | 1,254$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.79 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 65c | 1,216$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,039$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.44 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 63c | 1,030$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 35c | 1,016$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 79c | 1,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 65c | 769.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked No | 33c | 582.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 12c | 560$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 36c | 496$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 65c | 464.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 61c | 449.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.75 | 949 | 40.1%381 W · 568 L | +30.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 24c | 438$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Yes | 64c | 393.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 48c | 389$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Yes | 65c | 385.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 52c | 307.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 37c | 272.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 45c | 239.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 76c | 203.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…0895backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 64c | 189.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…f290backed Yes | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 22c | 167.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 355 | 40.3%143 W · 212 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 56c | 128.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Yes | 65c | 119.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 116.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 40c | 92.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Yes | 56c | 92.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Yes | 64c | 88.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes | 65c | 86.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked Yes | 72c | 85.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 65c | 78.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…a00ebacked No | 43c | 64.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 65c | 61.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…0e4dbacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 36c | 51.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 167 | 61.1%102 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 23c | 48.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 35.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 64c | 26.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b44…c24bbacked Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 63c | 21.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…ebccbacked Yes | 63c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…32bbbacked Yes | 63c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…41b7backed Yes | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…d842backed Yes | 63c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Yes | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…f049backed Yes | 63c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…0748backed Yes | 63c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Yes | 63c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed Yes | 61c | 16.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…a414backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Jaume Munar win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.