Tennis · resolved market
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1562838a58269d363f8002902069734238e87cf9f522fef77d95672b3e80c2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 37c | 2,677$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.12 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 63c | 2,537$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.22 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.32 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…cedbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,284$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 38c | 1,270$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.52 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 37c | 1,084$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 955.49$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.86 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 64c | 941$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 38c | 936.42$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 31c | 911.25$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 13c | 857.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 714$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.12 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 61c | 653$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.67 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 63c | 625$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 65c | 589.01$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 74c | 580$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…c5ddbacked No | 59c | 579$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 62c | 313.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 37c | 269.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 261.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Yes | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 64c | 243.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked No | 59c | 179$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 48c | 129.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 45c | 91.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 57c | 82.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 57c | 82.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked No | 64c | 79.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 70c | 58.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…a00ebacked No | 60c | 40.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…d9afbacked Yes | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 57c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b892backed Yes | 63c | 17.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?Yes won
- Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Jaume Munar win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.