TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$496,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$525,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed No42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.96347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c74,989$43,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,690.4248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c59,479$34,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,267.4127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No43c34,870$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,994.16940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d2…bb65backed No18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes58c15,000$8,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,372.56360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c14,074$6,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,051.745641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4dc…840bbacked No0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+215.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes57c13,650$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked No44c13,523$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No42c12,484$5,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,243.483839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No43c12,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.891822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes58c9,734$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.487337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No43c9,290$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c8,972$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.0668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c7,468$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.12,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No18c7,131$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.595736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked No43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No43c6,219$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.426323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes58c6,034$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.482650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes58c6,034$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.482650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No42c5,914$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.771844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No44c5,688$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked No43c5,164$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No43c5,000$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes58c4,694$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.392944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No43c4,444$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.9220544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No43c4,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.857332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c3,636$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.031,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No43c3,507$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5082240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes75c3,230$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.3396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No42c3,150$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.951729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+92.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No43c2,901$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.3245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed No43c2,800$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c2,232$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.9634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88211837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No43c2,095$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9914249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes58c1,964$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No42c1,876$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.833727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes58c1,834$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.242240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Yes58c1,730$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes57c1,584$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No43c1,475$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.2511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No43c1,400$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.622947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes58c1,345$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.8312950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No44c1,261$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5556046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes58c1,138$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.932035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f8…2667backed Yes57c1,132$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes58c1,058$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes57c1,051$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.93250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4306142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4307055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff32…5f58backed Yes57c998.67$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes58c971.45$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae7…0319backed Yes58c857.38$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Yes57c849.04$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.09875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Yes75c805$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No44c760$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.45250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No44c670.45$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…d05dbacked No43c652.48$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da1…a9efbacked No38c650.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No43c644$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.922429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No42c620$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.44932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No44c606.1$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.693537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yes65c602.72$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.04887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes56c599.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.991540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a43…8c0bbacked Yes57c598.82$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f0…ef95backed Yes58c572.41$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes58c570$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…bc29backed Yes58c547.6$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes58c539.66$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.166043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes58c532.55$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.677552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.329953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.247656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9360…f051backed Yes58c491.38$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c487.19$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes57c443.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.982055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x582e…37d8backed Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c434.73$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes57c420.81$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590b…7fd6backed Yes58c413.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes57c399.81$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5821445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No43c381.34$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9813639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.59456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.