Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b517d21174d83885ee42071ea0b4aacf34562b172b813eeb2abf89960a474e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $107,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,970 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	14c	10,150$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.21	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes	16c	6,270$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.61	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	16c	5,289$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.23	687	50.8%349 W · 338 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	11c	4,983$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.68	969	42.3%410 W · 559 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	17c	4,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.98	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	18c	3,111$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.12	481	44.1%212 W · 269 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes	16c	2,877$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.17	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	6c	1,931$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.35	346	43.4%150 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes	17c	1,869$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.73	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes	18c	1,799$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.98	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	17c	1,774$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.55	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-7.3wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes	17c	1,595$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.2	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	366	30.9%113 W · 253 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes	17c	1,294$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	249	39.4%98 W · 151 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…8000backed Yes	3c	999.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes	17c	894.12$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes	17c	828$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.76	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	16c	800$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	8c	757.93$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.31	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	16c	708.51$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.36	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes	5c	699.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes	19c	633.33$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	0%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	17c	588$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	419	43.9%184 W · 235 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes	17c	582.35$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	16c	579.5$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.46	289	31.8%92 W · 197 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	17c	537$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.38	277	37.2%103 W · 174 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	136	39.7%54 W · 82 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes	17c	470.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d2…bb65backed Yes	3c	454.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes	16c	337.51$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	17c	299.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	260	46.9%122 W · 138 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	17c	299.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	130	40%52 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	17c	264.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	17c	264.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes	17c	253.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.59	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb1…5d99backed Yes	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes	17c	232$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8660…7a93backed Yes	12c	217.65$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes	9c	211.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	17c	200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	214	45.8%98 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Yes	17c	192.47$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes	17c	140.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	164	48.8%80 W · 84 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	17c	138.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	78c	136.36$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	71.8%28 W · 11 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes	18c	133$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Yes	12c	130.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	11c	107.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	129	29.5%38 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa764…e5cdbacked Yes	18c	105.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	16c	97.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	387	44.7%173 W · 214 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes	19c	96.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c6…38a9backed Yes	17c	95.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.39per pick	36cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes	16c	83.16$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes	17c	81.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No	80c	66.61$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	90	78.9%71 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	76cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No	80c	44.28$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	80c	19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.8	101	63.4%64 W · 37 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?this page
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event