Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56178d926ba5c11e7dfc64dde5f460a72a963257149cd32ed7f3b06911695a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 74c | 30,495$22,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,928.72 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 26c | 18,735$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 7,524$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.24 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 2,423$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 2,268$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.43 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,308$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 23c | 1,056$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,037$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 932.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 26c | 682.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 667$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 647.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yes | 16c | 612.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 25c | 485.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 25c | 459.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 28c | 330.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 16c | 316.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 25c | 274.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 265.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 17c | 243.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 26c | 232$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 74c | 226$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 218.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 215.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked No | 75c | 201.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 171$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 120.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 119.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Yes | 27c | 118.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…b824backed Yes | 26c | 116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…8a4abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 23c | 99.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 25c | 87.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 25c | 80.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 78.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…f860backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked No | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…3d6dbacked No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Yes | 26c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Yes | 26c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 40.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 76c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…a283backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.