Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513e00c83a312a98de895ee5bd2e48352c559f45db3b1aa64aaa6ea7075c7eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 46c | 100,000$45,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,025.31 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 50,491$27,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,230.54 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 39,788$21,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,235.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000.07 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 55c | 17,408$9,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,574.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 7,739$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.98 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 5,758$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.4 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 52c | 4,087$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.48 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 2,239$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.36 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 68c | 2,196$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 53c | 1,700$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 1,646$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.89 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 7c | 1,580$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 28c | 1,072$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.4 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 68c | 951.17$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 933$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.16 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 70c | 918.11$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 60c | 828.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 68c | 774.51$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 46c | 625$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 564.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 543.28$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 495$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 470$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 46c | 418.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 45c | 340$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes | 68c | 329.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 52c | 293.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 58c | 273.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 46c | 256$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…907cbacked Yes | 49c | 243.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 67c | 237.31$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 33c | 237.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…258dbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 216$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 50c | 190.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 69c | 171.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…cba7backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 69c | 147.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…b8bdbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 54c | 145.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 37c | 141.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked No | 74c | 135.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 72c | 134$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 68c | 123$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 31c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…958fbacked Yes | 69c | 119.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 52c | 116.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 52c | 112.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 57c | 111.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 59c | 93.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 56c | 89.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 86.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 49c | 82.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 49c | 69.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 70c | 64.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 63.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 62.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…8d2ebacked Yes | 68c | 62.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 65c | 55.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Parma vs. Bologna end in a draw?No won
- Will Parma win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.