Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d56059aa3074f2f8ca459244af9cffe61bd76e4f178aa26cfffc993fd5077c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 5,009$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 21c | 4,750$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 2,627$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 2,476$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.65 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 43c | 2,305$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 5c | 2,305$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…95e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 781$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 453$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…4866backed No | 78c | 422.21$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 318.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 22c | 315$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 21c | 299.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 76c | 261.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 62c | 144$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 38c | 125.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 50.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…70febacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 78c | 23.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will Parma vs. Bologna end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.