NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08136059083af3c0a8dda941fd9d42b6d14dbeabddd742849108299544dbedf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24f7…befcbacked Rockets | 0c | 59,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 45c | 22,059$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.09 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Pistons | 50c | 11,321$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.87 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pistons | 46c | 10,241$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.7 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 29c | 10,239$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.82 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons | 54c | 7,626$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.65 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Pistons | 77c | 7,239$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pistons | 26c | 6,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.65 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 1c | 3,138$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 32c | 3,013$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.44 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,891$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.91 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Rockets | 75c | 2,745$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 33c | 2,704$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.08 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Rockets | 3c | 2,413$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 75c | 2,405$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.45 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Rockets | 67c | 2,247$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 46c | 2,221$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.19 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…9a4fbacked Pistons | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.84 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Pistons | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.87 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pistons | 25c | 1,933$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.4 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Pistons | 57c | 1,872$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 74c | 1,858$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.21 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Pistons | 79c | 1,776$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.13 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Rockets | 63c | 1,551$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets | 49c | 1,535$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 32c | 1,435$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets | 70c | 1,426$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.4 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Pistons | 26c | 1,412$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.54 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…a3f3backed Rockets | 14c | 1,389$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 1c | 1,370$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Pistons | 26c | 1,331$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Rockets | 74c | 1,312$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.04 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Pistons | 35c | 1,258$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…642fbacked Pistons | 62c | 1,239$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Pistons | 41c | 1,203$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.02 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Pistons | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Pistons | 75c | 1,043$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.01 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked Rockets | 75c | 1,019$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Pistons | 47c | 1,016$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.34 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 68c | 1,000$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.7 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…2950backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Pistons | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Rockets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 60c | 989.42$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.47 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Rockets | 43c | 952.68$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Pistons | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…a897backed Rockets | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…5c8dbacked Rockets | 55c | 774.82$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons | 27c | 748.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Pistons | 75c | 660.2$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pistons | 72c | 630.98$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets | 74c | 599.95$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.96 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Rockets | 64c | 557.83$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pistons | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…fd83backed Rockets | 11c | 539.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…e875backed Rockets | 40c | 533.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rockets | 49c | 510.27$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.77 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Rockets | 75c | 506.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 38c | 500$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Pistons | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Pistons | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets | 74c | 499.9$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pistons | 33c | 497.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Pistons | 45c | 494.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Rockets | 49c | 458.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rockets | 32c | 457.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pistons | 44c | 456.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Rockets | 3c | 446.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09eb…44dcbacked Pistons | 28c | 429.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Rockets | 75c | 422.42$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons | 25c | 419.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons | 43c | 408.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Rockets | 74c | 403.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Rockets | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Rockets | 54c | 397.45$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 25c | 385$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Pistons | 75c | 378.45$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Rockets | 76c | 372.37$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Pistons | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 38c | 360.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…6c92backed Pistons | 32c | 355.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Rockets | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Rockets | 45c | 318.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 24c | 309.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Pistons | 78c | 308.64$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 25c | 304.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…6ef1backed Pistons | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…7240backed Rockets | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…50a0backed Pistons | 76c | 291.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Rockets | 54c | 281.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 25c | 272.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Rockets | 19c | 267.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Rockets | 52c | 261.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 33c | 259.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.