NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b33ffdc96cbdb3a9c88b27b2a54e3018a83525b828eef90b3273b76ab358bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 18c | 32,160$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.82 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Magic | 26c | 19,526$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.14 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 73c | 8,237$6,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.9 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Nuggets | 60c | 8,044$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.42 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 27c | 7,559$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.24 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 26c | 5,710$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.69 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 32c | 5,617$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.19 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 32c | 5,273$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.95 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Nuggets | 74c | 4,671$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.51 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…9e8bbacked Nuggets | 75c | 3,824$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Nuggets | 74c | 3,170$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.74 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 27c | 3,050$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 72c | 2,738$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 74c | 2,500$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Magic | 2c | 2,350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 2,250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Nuggets | 74c | 2,209$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.3 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,125$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 1,948$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,761$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.81 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Magic | 27c | 1,707$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.77 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…8b53backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,427$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…6bccbacked Magic | 27c | 1,310$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Magic | 34c | 1,221$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.12 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 28c | 1,114$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Magic | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 4c | 1,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,100$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Magic | 21c | 1,093$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 2c | 1,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,044$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.74 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Magic | 26c | 1,020$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,008$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.32 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…27b9backed Magic | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked Magic | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Nuggets | 66c | 997.27$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.01 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…fa55backed Magic | 32c | 990.05$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 71c | 975$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.75 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…35e5backed Nuggets | 74c | 947.05$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…673abacked Magic | 27c | 944.45$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Magic | 6c | 922.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Nuggets | 69c | 850$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 30c | 847.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Nuggets | 73c | 830.88$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Nuggets | 74c | 763.52$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…8929backed Nuggets | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 29c | 723.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…326cbacked Magic | 27c | 718.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Nuggets | 74c | 709.13$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 688.29$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…4036backed Nuggets | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 27c | 640.32$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Magic | 31c | 563.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Nuggets | 68c | 541.76$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…642fbacked Nuggets | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nuggets | 67c | 533.76$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9df2backed Magic | 32c | 531.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 27c | 513.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets | 73c | 451.92$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Magic | 30c | 440.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 429.93$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Nuggets | 74c | 424.59$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 12c | 421.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Nuggets | 72c | 416.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Nuggets | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 26c | 399.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Magic | 27c | 388.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Magic | 30c | 382.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Nuggets | 69c | 373.91$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Nuggets | 71c | 368.68$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…f9f8backed Nuggets | 74c | 364.87$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…853cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 145 | 67.6%98 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…befcbacked Nuggets | 74c | 356.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6983backed Nuggets | 74c | 354.06$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Magic | 27c | 351$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nuggets | 73c | 344.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Magic | 51c | 331.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Nuggets | 71c | 326.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…d7b4backed Nuggets | 74c | 318.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Magic | 27c | 314.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…93c5backed Nuggets | 74c | 312.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…b87fbacked Magic | 33c | 311.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 64c | 309.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 29c | 305.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…6024backed Nuggets | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 30c | 289.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.