Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d9c82b5724a540c6ddaefe97ff1102b09d1807c0f81898b1af86ec0b2271af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,144$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 72c | 2,005$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 63c | 1,578$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 1,123$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.19 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 1,021$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 37c | 920.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.77 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 849.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Under | 37c | 536.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Over | 80c | 434.9$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 400.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 347.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 64c | 304.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 63c | 282.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 26c | 206.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Over | 62c | 194.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Under | 21c | 194.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 62c | 140.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 37c | 134.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 37c | 126.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Over | 63c | 117$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…ba65backed Over | 79c | 95.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Over | 64c | 85.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Over | 64c | 85.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 83.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 20c | 79.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed Over | 63c | 76.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 72c | 75.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 18c | 66.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 64c | 61.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 30c | 56.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 37c | 41.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Over | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Under | 33c | 33.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…7a69backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Under | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 63c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 77c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 63c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.