Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf27959fec67df9b5f87ee78fe815f9560cf6452ba5d20f8fcf7ac824cd5e7df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 48c | 6,702$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 55c | 3,163$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 2,110$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.2 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 31c | 1,276$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 43c | 978.64$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 847.44$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.58 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 46c | 651.07$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.04 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed No | 54c | 614.56$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 50c | 405.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 394.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 54c | 335.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked No | 55c | 294.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 47c | 243.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 159.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 7c | 148.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 141.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 58c | 109.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 105.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f6…d818backed No | 54c | 95.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Yes | 46c | 86.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 62.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed No | 52c | 59.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 52.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 48c | 51.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 52c | 49.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 47c | 29.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 46c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 47c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Yes | 46c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Yes | 58c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 71c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.