NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38a795604b76b28561cbc4c1c453c261660bcee60ba076d37a1ae7d2d4612bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 53c | 24,782$13,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,639.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 22,518$10,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,829.43 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 70c | 14,360$10,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,018.07 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Timberwolves | 39c | 11,813$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.24 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Grizzlies | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 8c | 9,726$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.59 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Grizzlies | 42c | 6,975$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.55 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 6,973$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.6 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Grizzlies | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 73c | 4,904$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.73 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Grizzlies | 68c | 4,654$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.3 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 28c | 4,075$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.44 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 4,058$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.51 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…5715backed Timberwolves | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…fab0backed Timberwolves | 76c | 3,256$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Timberwolves | 32c | 3,061$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.84 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,967$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 2,909$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.27 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Timberwolves | 34c | 2,872$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…642fbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,855$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,850$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.64 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Grizzlies | 68c | 2,592$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.44 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 33c | 2,368$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.41 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Timberwolves | 10c | 2,216$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 2,117$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…75f6backed Timberwolves | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.96 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,839$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.13 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Timberwolves | 28c | 1,800$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,623$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.64 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 1,600$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 1,594$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,526$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Timberwolves | 38c | 1,519$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 73c | 1,515$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.55 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,449$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…bdfbbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 1,376$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Timberwolves | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…c073backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,219$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…5c8dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,170$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,124$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 66c | 1,106$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…9a4fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,088$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.83 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,069$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Grizzlies | 67c | 1,050$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…f90ebacked Timberwolves | 39c | 1,028$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 65c | 1,005$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves | 37c | 998.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.62 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 926.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.14 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 52c | 925$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 915.96$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 857.99$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Grizzlies | 21c | 836.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.66 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…94acbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 825.4$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Grizzlies | 63c | 804.2$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 800$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Timberwolves | 33c | 799.01$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Timberwolves | 5c | 791.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Timberwolves | 80c | 776.54$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.23 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Grizzlies | 42c | 711$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 699.99$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 33c | 668$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 655.04$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.26 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Timberwolves | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 635.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 620.77$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.91 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 617.27$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.84 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Grizzlies | 66c | 610.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 600$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 31c | 599.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 573.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 7c | 563$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Grizzlies | 50c | 547.57$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Grizzlies | 37c | 538.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.56 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Timberwolves | 65c | 522.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Grizzlies | 40c | 500$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Timberwolves | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 499.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 37c | 499.92$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 475.37$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 462$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…8b76backed Timberwolves | 64c | 452.89$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 449.66$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Timberwolves | 71c | 430.37$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.