Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc754762994216844470036d278a919f4736e4f1e5890d260ef644adbb148dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 1,233$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.17 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,008$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 937.45$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 602.64$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 54c | 443$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 29c | 400$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.61 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 387.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 47c | 380.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 355.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Under | 48c | 328.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 30c | 328.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 37c | 233.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked Under | 71c | 190$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…c581backed Under | 70c | 190$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 55c | 182.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +93%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 60c | 175.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 172.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 71c | 153.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 71c | 125.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 37c | 121.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 44c | 117.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Under | 66c | 102$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 30c | 99.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 53c | 96.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Over | 39c | 87.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 63c | 86.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…2958backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 63.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 39c | 61.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 61c | 59.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 54.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Over | 60c | 53.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 49.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 54c | 47.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 35c | 36.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Under | 72c | 36.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Over | 47c | 33.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 51c | 32.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…9021backed Under | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 71c | 28.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 28.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 48c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…c396backed Under | 60c | 23.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…a8cfbacked Under | 67c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.