Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3994ddf7213c944924bb00818cfa81bb084a0cac268ea24c0e9529b2078a5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 51c | 32,635$16,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,009.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 14,010$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 10,095$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.98 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed Under | 38c | 5,557$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,353$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.78 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 2,651$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.31 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Under | 1c | 2,489$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 2,242$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.34 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 50c | 1,987$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 49c | 1,441$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 1,347$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 50c | 1,203$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 999.92$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 622.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 53c | 468.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 50c | 409.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 49c | 405.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 52c | 331.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Under | 49c | 317.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 17c | 290.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 37c | 272.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 246.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 51c | 244.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 53c | 236.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…405fbacked Over | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Under | 48c | 216.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 49c | 209$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 48c | 199.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 41c | 156.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 53c | 149.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 134.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Over | 52c | 115.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 37c | 110.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 47c | 104.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 79c | 92.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Over | 52c | 83.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 38c | 81.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 52c | 76.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 74.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 67c | 74.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Over | 52c | 72.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 49c | 71.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 49c | 66.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 48c | 65.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 36c | 56.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…3613backed Over | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 49c | 52.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Under | 49c | 48.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 27c | 48.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…76bfbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 50c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…f8cfbacked Over | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9245…a99dbacked Under | 43c | 25.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…60cbbacked Over | 57c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…bdd0backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.