Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1cee9ebc1bef483ace51420b374bbc20b3b0bdfd0ea2eedfff9a94d5dbd285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 971.88$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 399.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 392.94$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 56c | 248.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 59c | 236.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed No | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Yes | 64c | 155.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 64c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 55c | 107$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 104.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 54c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 97.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 57c | 88.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 63c | 63.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…a1d7backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 57c | 22.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.