TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Under70c57,238$40,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,059.2727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over30c50,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under72c34,596$24,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,751.038962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c12,298$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,820.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5002050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c3,713$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.986,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over66c2,021$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.341560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over28c1,858$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3372,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over28c1,778$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.61,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over29c1,603$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.659732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over28c1,358$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over33c1,030$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.37844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c806.24$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.381,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over49c715.84$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.087357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over31c644.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8114544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under65c631.11$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.210051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under70c565.42$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.791729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over31c489.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2683542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over31c374.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1413447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5816731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over30c321.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.179961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over31c314.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.541,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Over31c261.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.913348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over31c225$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under70c203.45$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.233154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over18c174$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.455442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under70c169.61$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.731030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under71c168$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.284339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab2…2b00backed Under69c166.34$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over28c165$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over28c165$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.835157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254961.2%30 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over67c150.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9619259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over31c129.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5235328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-76.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1a47…f5efbacked Over32c126.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x121a…91b7backed Over32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x625a…7d3cbacked Under69c124.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under70c123$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.15058%29 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under54c122.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1e…c162backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691711.8%2 W · 15 L-7.4wins-0.43per pick55cpaid-79.8%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4935347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over28c95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.425553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over33c94.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.820931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x610a…3528backed Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.911030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over30c89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.331,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over63c88.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3241260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1c…b332backed Under69c86.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over32c78.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.514949%24 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Under69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under69c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.314049.3%69 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…12fcbacked Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5235134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over30c62.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9117549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…4adbbacked Over17c62.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+136.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over28c60.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.516440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over31c57.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8633753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.