Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95bde060433cf765ae4def0c136355d402a2d9d608bb35616a9ebe2b4b24237e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,353$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 2,471$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 2,395$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.33 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 44c | 618.36$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 605.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 510.02$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 18c | 320$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 268.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 19c | 237.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 174.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 16c | 159$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 150.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…f07abacked Yes | 9c | 138.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 136.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 19c | 132.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Yes | 47c | 128.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 20c | 118.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 13c | 98.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Yes | 21c | 82.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 69c | 78.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 74.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Yes | 43c | 70.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 17c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 18c | 66.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 63.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 32c | 59.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed No | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 45.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 55c | 39.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 51c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 72c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.