Premier League · resolved market
Will Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x388bd3e27297e0a6d5666bcfd5cd0e33b12c21bf8517674e75e9ea781ea50794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,376$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,094$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 947$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.81 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 649.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 76c | 480$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 376.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 56c | 356.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…e768backed Yes | 69c | 287.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 51c | 265.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 60c | 248.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 126.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 123.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 23c | 108.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 93.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…8d66backed Yes | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 78c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 13c | 77.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed No | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 38c | 65.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…5202backed Yes | 65c | 57.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 23c | 49.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 66c | 48.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed No | 61c | 42.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 13.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.