Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1d2271b18cd2d0ba8d8ba120e59cde23fa8a6ecd6f97a19c97cd7dbc03a99b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 65c | 30,560$19,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,776.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 18,114$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 11,451$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.2 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 8,739$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.78 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 65c | 8,729$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 36c | 6,890$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 63c | 5,916$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.63 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 4,924$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 4,720$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.69 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,019$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 36c | 3,889$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 3,835$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.27 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 35c | 3,333$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.56 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,063$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.15 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 64c | 2,113$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.1 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 51c | 1,592$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.09 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 35c | 1,563$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.05 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 68c | 1,493$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 1,413$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 1,380$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 1,167$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed No | 65c | 1,058$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 33c | 1,020$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 37c | 999.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 35c | 874$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 789.05$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 41c | 748.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked No | 68c | 666$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 77c | 605$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b767backed Yes | 37c | 537.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 37c | 493.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…02efbacked Yes | 36c | 460.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 36c | 353.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 65c | 350.09$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 35c | 343.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 65c | 305$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 36c | 301$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 278$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 64c | 269$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…addabacked Yes | 37c | 256.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 34c | 225.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 73c | 197.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 36c | 196.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 65c | 194.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 21c | 190$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 32c | 187.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 36c | 182.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Yes | 39c | 167.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 32c | 156.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 65c | 149.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…7029backed Yes | 33c | 148.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 64c | 138.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Yes | 36c | 137.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 36c | 132.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…d6cabacked Yes | 38c | 120.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Yes | 37c | 113.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 66c | 110.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 36c | 109.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 15c | 105.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Yes | 18c | 102.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…a0f2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-15?No won
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.