Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe8abbf05bb30da4055213838a682cc1e4468fb2a9101a09c3af6852d9d1e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.03 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 5,741$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925.37 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 3,829$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 3,514$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.64 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,943$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.38 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,776$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,172$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.55 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 831$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.97 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 30c | 793.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.28 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 688$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 677.14$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 69c | 613.25$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.14 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 70c | 600$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 28c | 566.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 463.61$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 70c | 462$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Yes | 29c | 459.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 25c | 439.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 33c | 376.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 372.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.49 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 37c | 348.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 43c | 337.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 317.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 40c | 306.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 296.6$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 280$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed No | 28c | 251.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 24c | 214.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 79c | 185$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…2f81backed No | 10c | 171.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 67c | 150.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 69c | 147.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 25c | 145.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 26c | 136.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 58c | 128$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 69c | 111$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 27c | 96.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 31c | 90.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 23c | 85.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…9541backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +200%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 69.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 36c | 64.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 70c | 62.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 31c | 60.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 18c | 60.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 35c | 51.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 37c | 50.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 24c | 48.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 69c | 46.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked Yes | 31c | 41.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 31c | 41.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 36.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…8f52backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…3fd6backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 70c | 23.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-15?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.