TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vukicof Tsitsipas, Vukic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Tsitsipas76c10,800$8,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,207.45064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vukic45c9,459$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,183.7611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Vukic33c9,098$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,097.8728444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ad…bcdabacked Tsitsipas60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vukic37c8,142$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,118.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vukic41c7,962$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.162,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Vukic24c7,473$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.3376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vukic22c6,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6601,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Tsitsipas78c4,685$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,675.471656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Tsitsipas68c4,500$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Tsitsipas47c4,229$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Tsitsipas73c4,096$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Tsitsipas61c4,030$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.658158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Tsitsipas33c3,946$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Tsitsipas68c3,357$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.7759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Tsitsipas53c3,252$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.746150.8%31 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Vukic25c3,145$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.12,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vukic46c2,965$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.62,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Vukic28c2,854$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.130339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5b…3ea9backed Tsitsipas75c2,793$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vukic34c2,750$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.747,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Vukic55c2,364$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.642343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tsitsipas59c2,349$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.051,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Tsitsipas73c2,211$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.125349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Vukic38c2,044$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.112,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vukic44c1,817$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.22,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Vukic66c1,542$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2858639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Vukic40c1,267$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.322,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Vukic41c1,216$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1319846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tsitsipas37c1,167$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6344754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Vukic22c1,068$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.047,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e1…91debacked Vukic28c1,062$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.271225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Vukic42c1,049$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.471,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf155…76bdbacked Tsitsipas77c1,006$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Tsitsipas47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Tsitsipas52c960.25$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.015164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Vukic23c949.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.327733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tsitsipas65c809.28$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.72,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Tsitsipas75c799.99$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vukic25c799.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9827944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Vukic28c788.6$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.612445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Tsitsipas68c700.98$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8112033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Tsitsipas50c679.32$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5718933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Vukic46c591.66$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.54946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Tsitsipas53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Tsitsipas57c533.29$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Tsitsipas4c501.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Vukic53c484.16$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5222236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6089…00e2backed Vukic20c460.63$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+121.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Tsitsipas75c450$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Tsitsipas46c444$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2412631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Tsitsipas46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Tsitsipas69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Vukic50c413$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Vukic26c404.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.174459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Tsitsipas75c398.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Tsitsipas77c379.32$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Vukic45c376.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.133053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tsitsipas54c362.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.856,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Vukic28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Vukic36c339.61$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.711040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Tsitsipas74c337.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Vukic25c333$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7526921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic29c325.46$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.372,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Vukic46c324.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.813351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Vukic52c324.3$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9128139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Tsitsipas66c301.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006869.1%47 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b23…a0fdbacked Vukic63c300.05$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Tsitsipas5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Tsitsipas42c269.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.116133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc662…592fbacked Tsitsipas69c261.83$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.371060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Vukic26c246.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3324844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tsitsipas38c231$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Tsitsipas44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b4…13b4backed Tsitsipas78c214.35$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Tsitsipas74c204.28$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Tsitsipas49c204.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Tsitsipas50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Tsitsipas53c198.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.713850.7%70 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tsitsipas51c195.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8628952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Vukic26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Tsitsipas54c191.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.785352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vukic68c190.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.964,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2752backed Tsitsipas64c188.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Tsitsipas54c186.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Tsitsipas75c184.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1421949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tsitsipas80c183$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.41,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Vukic28c179.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+75.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vukic45c165.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.771,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vukic36c164.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0727627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c7d…5aeebacked Vukic65c156.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.924422.7%10 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Vukic26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.856259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Tsitsipas50c150.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540f…cf12backed Vukic27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.152646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…2509backed Tsitsipas76c143.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Vukic43c139.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Tsitsipas75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf730…8a0abacked Tsitsipas76c132.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Tsitsipas76c131.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7412846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Vukic50c128$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.