Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe557edcc0133a77be1b10e6aa0dbf5b2639f66580498725a200f4db1ade28ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 7,442$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,374$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 958.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.39 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 797.9$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 59c | 550$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 48c | 301.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 45c | 223.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 66c | 221$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 209.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 72c | 165$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 72c | 165$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 72c | 124.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Yes | 50c | 108.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 99.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 68c | 72.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 41c | 48.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 52c | 38.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 69c | 38.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 29.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 48c | 29.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.