TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c5,464$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c4,783$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c2,026$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.261,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No34c2,000$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9733057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No65c1,201$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c967.56$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.54,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes35c619.86$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.8628531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes33c612.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8517428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3652548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes34c440.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.976838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c399.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes26c385.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7714252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19510051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No67c293.9$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No67c210$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No67c210$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.737557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No67c209.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No17c205$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4335134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No67c165$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No67c165$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No68c163.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.57640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.336036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No67c125$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No67c125$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7515347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed No69c120.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.176043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No70c102.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes29c101.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7323220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6729259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6732357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No67c95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No67c90$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.336259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No67c90$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.327354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c90$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9525456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9532656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No67c85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes29c80.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1310820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No34c69.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4726959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Yes29c68.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.711540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes33c66.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes35c65.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.291,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1325560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes32c59.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5716346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed No71c54.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes29c52.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.087522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c50.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.252,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba3…3e2dbacked Yes36c48.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes28c48.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No75c47.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5112055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes32c47.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.036437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No76c46.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1912245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No65c46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-70.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Yes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.44450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes37c31.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.063727%10 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.128458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.126259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.123658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.125858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.125558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.122958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.131359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.122858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.120556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.117456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No77c28.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1520931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No66c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.