Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8eeceb27f9e77123cf5e84503f78a3a26d1e31980cc1dd69113ea864a52abfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Shang, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shang | 7c | 55,410$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shang | 14c | 43,061$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shang | 18c | 32,624$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Shang | 16c | 16,925$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.02 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Bublik | 62c | 16,361$10,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,217.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Shang | 18c | 11,511$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.24 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Shang | 18c | 5,669$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Shang | 12c | 5,314$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.36 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Bublik | 69c | 4,818$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.97 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shang | 38c | 4,433$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.59 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Shang | 36c | 4,244$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.8 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Shang | 10c | 3,611$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Shang | 14c | 3,586$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shang | 11c | 3,390$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Bublik | 61c | 3,371$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.55 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Bublik | 67c | 3,060$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.31 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Shang | 11c | 2,750$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Shang | 18c | 2,620$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.45 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shang | 39c | 2,600$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.99 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Shang | 35c | 2,364$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.02 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Shang | 14c | 2,146$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Shang | 23c | 2,126$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Shang | 39c | 2,106$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Bublik | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Shang | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…1168backed Shang | 14c | 1,850$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Bublik | 66c | 1,722$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.42 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Shang | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Shang | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shang | 37c | 1,370$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.69 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Bublik | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bublik | 64c | 1,099$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Shang | 14c | 1,078$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Bublik | 63c | 1,037$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Bublik | 62c | 999.85$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.94 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Shang | 21c | 953.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shang | 30c | 929.78$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.27 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Shang | 20c | 901.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Bublik | 76c | 889.83$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.77 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Bublik | 62c | 803.97$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Shang | 37c | 731.81$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.77 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Shang | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Bublik | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Shang | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Shang | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Bublik | 62c | 544.17$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shang | 38c | 525.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Bublik | 62c | 520$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Bublik | 64c | 487.86$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Bublik | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Shang | 14c | 388.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Bublik | 65c | 384.43$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shang | 36c | 366.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Shang | 11c | 360$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Bublik | 62c | 329$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…6f68backed Bublik | 66c | 320$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Bublik | 62c | 301.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Shang | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shang | 9c | 278.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Shang | 13c | 264.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Bublik | 62c | 246.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…d53ebacked Bublik | 62c | 244.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Shang | 13c | 240.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Shang | 13c | 232.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Bublik | 62c | 228.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shang | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Bublik | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Shang | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Shang | 16c | 176.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shang | 27c | 173.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…0fd2backed Shang | 39c | 169$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bublik | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bublik | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Bublik | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Shang | 38c | 160.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bublik | 63c | 159.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Bublik | 63c | 158.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shang | 22c | 155.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Bublik | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Bublik | 74c | 153.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed Shang | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Bublik | 64c | 147.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…fe39backed Shang | 15c | 136.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Shang | 13c | 131.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Bublik | 62c | 129.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Shang | 12c | 126.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Shang | 17c | 125.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bublik | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Shang | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Shang | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Bublik | 73c | 116.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shang | 37c | 116.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Bublik | 65c | 107.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…3652backed Shang | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Bublik | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Shang | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Bublik | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Bublik | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Bublik | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Bublik | 64c | 93.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublikthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shang vs BublikBublik won
- Shang vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Shang vs. Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.