La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b57f33df0fa5ddb0989d2d48103f8261067f7ddc5fa1d97db2aeadc08995069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 60c | 36,865$21,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,957.61 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 40c | 29,022$11,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,350.66 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 43c | 2,892$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 2,383$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,635$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 69c | 1,008$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 734.97$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 242.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 67c | 235$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 32c | 211.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 44c | 210.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 74c | 149$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 73c | 115$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 74c | 108$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 34c | 97.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 66c | 92.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 74c | 83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 74c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Under | 66c | 69.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 39c | 63.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Over | 42c | 60.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 38c | 58.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 26c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 74c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…7a49backed Over | 41c | 43.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 74c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 49c | 32.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 43c | 28.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Over | 44c | 26.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 43c | 26.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 45c | 23.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.