La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e58a86655c666d7917278f405f3e4ead3250aaac07d527df1f435470af3839e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,999.99 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 56c | 32,525$18,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,213.72 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 55c | 25,765$14,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,257.9 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$9,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,021.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 16,733$8,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,426.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.99 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 2,359$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.53 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 646.85$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.46 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 56c | 403.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 68c | 330.12$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 45c | 161.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 55c | 147.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 66.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 52c | 65.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 60.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 55c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 33c | 50.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Over | 46c | 49.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 46c | 48.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 53c | 47.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Over | 45c | 40.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 50c | 33.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…6e99backed Over | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 53c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 55c | 21.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 55c | 19.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b7…667abacked Over | 78c | 14.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.