La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0bbad5a6a3c3038e8d6500cf2e16ed3ff8b08256585dad32ef5eaab8ecd0f4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 74c | 300.93$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 72c | 205$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 28c | 139.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 73c | 129$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 89.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 28c | 81.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 25c | 43.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Under | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.