TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed No52c53,887$28,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,021.093138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c18,078$6,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,856.944,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes48c10,173$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,289.99450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3006839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No53c8,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.9413845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c7,053$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.2630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No0c6,011$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.884621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6009743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85515044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No53c3,181$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6865950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.996240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c2,350$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.221,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes46c2,011$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No52c2,008$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.053046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0606944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No55c1,817$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes47c1,694$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.671190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick62cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No55c1,624$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked Yes73c1,530$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No4c1,502$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.05777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No52c1,441$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2228055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes48c1,358$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.3212236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes47c1,243$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.9812344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No55c1,101$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.657922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c1,072$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.6510437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes47c1,053$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.413948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c1,010$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.3474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0414348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ad…80f6backed No53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes45c749.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.494564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes49c697$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.473847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No45c666$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.77653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes47c638.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes45c637.96$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.884100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+1,227.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c601.75$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7213046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes47c600$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.743441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No47c591.41$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.055832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes47c585$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+120.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No51c555.98$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.553941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No53c527$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.698751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes46c517.7$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes48c502.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3119344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26522335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes46c413.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.048254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes73c411$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21210441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No53c382.59$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.949353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed No54c382$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.311060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No51c381$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3120159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No27c372.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.514528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes47c370.38$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.893056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d0…04d6backed No55c341$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3218…4355backed Yes46c324.14$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes46c324$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.963545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No52c320.46$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.645742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No54c315$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.753246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No48c303.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.712744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…3081backed Yes46c301.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No53c266.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.227156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed No55c255.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c242.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.063,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No52c229.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.397635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2f18backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392532%8 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes47c214.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9213668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes46c213.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes47c211.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.757251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes47c210.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8816036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes48c209.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No54c207.09$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes69c205$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8715442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes46c202.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.174843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes45c201.66$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9118650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…423abacked No31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10822740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes45c199.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.987448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Yes45c199.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes49c195.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9614233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No51c195.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes48c185.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5815646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6e…81ebbacked No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No36c172.34$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked No43c164.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No52c150.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7624546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed No53c148.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.192650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…a200backed Yes73c145.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.